An Interview with Paradigm Author Robert Taylor
Paradigm is based on a true story: Robert Taylor's story. In 2000, Taylor was nominated for a Nobel Prize in Economics for the surprising scientific discovery he presents in Paradigm. The characters and the story in Paradigm are fictional, but the discovery, the research, and the greed are real. Sarah Stephan of Savas Beatie LLC recently interviewed Robert Taylor to find out more about his discovery and his fast-paced new thriller, Paradigm.
: Paradigm is an interesting blend of fiction and reality. First let's discuss the fictional aspects of Paradigm, and then move onto the scientific discovery presented in your book. Can you briefly describe Paradigm for those who haven't read it yet, without giving too much away?
RT: Sure. At the beginning of the book, twin scientists Alex and Nicholas Shepard visit the Biltmore Estate in Asheville, North Carolina. During their stay, they stumble upon a secret room and discover an ancient Egyptian box. While studying the box, the brothers realize they can use it to make a fortune in the stock market. But the Shepards quickly learn that the owners of the box want it back, and will stop at nothing to get it.
: When the Shepard brothers and their wives leave the Biltmore Estate, their adventures really take off!
RT: They sure do! The Shepards embark in a race through Europe searching for clues to discover the box's owner, and to save their family.
: I really liked how you present what is now known as The Taylor Effect in the book. I felt like I was right there with the Shepard brothers and their wives, trying to unlock the secrets of the Egyptian box.
RT: Thank you. I enjoyed crafting Alex and Nicholas's story. All of the questions they bring up, the stock market experiments they perform, and the conclusions they reach, reflect the process of my own research. Although, I have to admit, Alex and Nicholas are younger, taller, and probably a lot more fun to visit with!
: (Laughing) Let's talk about The Taylor Effect. You present a shocking discovery in Paradigm-that the general movement of the stock market is NOT random. Instead, it can be predicted with nearly 100 percent accuracy decades in advance.
RT: That is shocking, sounds a bit "out there," but it is also correct. I have empirically proven that the stock market is completely predictable, based on gravitational fluctuations. These fluctuations cause humans to feel simultaneously bullish or bearish about the stock market.
: So you are saying that gravity, the force that keeps our feet planted on the ground, affects whether the stock market will move up or down?
RT: Yes. Most people do not realize the huge role gravity plays in our lives. Gravity is considered constant, but in reality gravity fluctuates because of the interaction of other gravitational influences felt on earth, such as the presence of the moon, the sun, and all other matter in the universe. These fluctuations can influence physical fitness, our driving behavior, criminal behavior, buying processes, the effectiveness of some medications, psychological health, and perhaps most incredible of all-dictate the general direction of financial markets. The Taylor Effect provides us with the understanding of how to harness the usefulness and the power of gravity to the betterment of our financial lives.
: But you are not saying you can predict individual stocks or how high or low it will go, right?
RT: Correct. This has nothing to do with whether Microsoft is going to go up or down. It predicts general market movement between certain points in time, but not amplitude.
: What does that mean exactly?
RT: It means that we know with nearly absolute certainly whether the broad-based market (I use the S&P 500) will move up or down, but not by how much it will move up or down.
: So if your science shows the market will go up between October and December of a given year, you don't know how high it will go.
RT: That's right, and it never moves in a straight line. So using your specific example, we would know that at the end of the identified term, the market will be higher-whether by 1% or 20%, we don't know.
: That's fascinating. However, wouldn't most people argue that it's common knowledge that the movements of the stock market are random, as stated in Burton Malkiel's book A Random Walk Down Wall Street?
RT: Contrary to what people have been led to believe, Malkiel's Random Walk Theory does not prove that stock market movements are random. Instead, it merely concluded that the behavior of the stock market must be random because a pattern could not be found. I have found that pattern. It was hard to forecast the movement of the market before my discovery, and now it is predictable and easily provable by anyone.
: Thousands of brokers, stock market traders, and investors spend their whole lives trying to predict the movements of the stock market. Many swear by indicators they use to make their daily trades. What makes your discovery about the effects of gravity so unique?
RT: That's a good question. The Taylor Effect is the only TRUE leading indicator that forecasts stock market trends. Other indicators are 'lagging' indicators because they rely on statistical analysis of historical data to predict future events.
: How far ahead can you predict stock market movements?
RT: In Paradigm, I give the reader a yearly direction for the stock market to the year 2020. In actuality, I can produce accurate predictions up to 100 years in advance. For those interested in looking at past data, they can go to my website at www.paradigmbook.com, where I present charts detailing gravitational fluctuations and the movements of the stock market for every year since 1920.
: So people can use the charts eight decades back to prove to themselves that the information is correct?
RT: Yes, absolutely. Anyone can produce the charts themselves and test the theory in an hour or two. It is rather simple.
: Your approach of using a novel supported by factual evidence works really well. What made you decide to present The Taylor Effect in Paradigm, a fast-paced thriller?
RT: I wanted to present my discovery to the largest audience possible. The majority of the population does not read scientific journals, but they do enjoy a good fictional read. My hope is that readers will enjoy the fictional aspects of Paradigm, and be so intrigued that they want to learn more about the movements of financial markets.
: How can the average person use your discovery for themselves by reading Paradigm?
RT: Hopefully, after reading Paradigm it will be easier for people to understand the basic science behind my discovery. By following Alex's and Nicholas's journey, people will learn the basics of why and how The Taylor Effect works. In the back of the book the publisher included an essay and a Technical Appendix explaining in detailed scientific language exactly how the discovery works, as well as how you can independently obtain software (which I have nothing to do with) that tracks the gravitational / tidal patterns. The book explains exactly how to do this to produce your own charts going backward in time or forward.
: So readers can use independent market data from whatever source they like, and independent science data, and match it up to prove what you are saying?
: What about people who want to take this one step further and actually use The Taylor Effect for their stock market trades?
RT: They can do it themselves, but I also offer subscriptions to my economic modeling software so that people can use my discovery to their advantage. You can learn about the service and market forecasts on my website.
: What are you working on now?
RT: Lots, actually. I am finishing a sequel to Paradigm, working on a movie deal, and continuing to collaborate with leading scientists on many exciting new projects.
: Well, we wish you the best of luck with the release of Paradigm and your other efforts. Thank you for your time, Mr. Taylor.
RT: You're welcome, and thank you.
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